Ex-Pres. Maintains Lead in Key Swing States, Even After Conviction

Ex-Pres. Maintains Lead in Key Swing States, Even After Conviction

Former U.S. President Donald Trump

United States: Former President of the US – Donald Trump, still maintains a slight lead over President Joe Biden in some essential battleground states of the United States as presidential elections are coming closer. It is to be noted that this lead has been maintained during the time of his conviction in a New York criminal trial.

Recent state polls conducted by Emerson College Polling/The Hill reveal Trump leading Biden by 4 points in Arizona and Georgia, by three points in Wisconsin and Nevada, and by two points in Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, in Michigan, Trump holds a narrow one-point lead, with the candidates deadlocked in Minnesota, according to The Hill.

“In our latest polling across key swing states post-Trump’s conviction, we’ve observed minimal shifts, with support for both candidates remaining largely stable since November,” stated Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling. These results notably fall within the margin of error for the polls.

Trump’s recent legal setback in his Manhattan trial involving hush money has not significantly impacted his position in the upcoming presidential race against Biden as they prepare for a rematch in November. His sentencing is scheduled for early July, just ahead of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.

Across all seven swing states surveyed, a plurality of voters indicated that Trump’s conviction will not affect their voting decisions.

Simultaneously, a majority of voters in each state expressed that Hunter Biden’s recent conviction would also not sway their votes. Although the President himself is not implicated in this case, it marks the first trial of a sitting president’s child, prompting concerns among some Democrats about potential distractions during the campaign.

The latest Emerson/The Hill polls also revealed that independent voters in all seven states leaned towards supporting Trump, although his backing among this group has slightly diminished in three states since April — decreasing by 5 points in Arizona, 3 points in Michigan, and 8 points in Pennsylvania, as outlined by The Hill.

Conversely, Biden has seen his support among independents decline by six points in Georgia and five points in Nevada over the same period.

While Biden trails Trump in critical battlegrounds, Democratic Senate candidates are ahead of their Republican counterparts in Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

For instance, Democratic Senate candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego in Arizona leads Republican Kari Lake by two points, surpassing Biden’s performance. Similarly, Sen. Bob Casey (D) in Pennsylvania is ahead of Republican nominee Dave McCormick, while Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) in Wisconsin is leading likely GOP challenger Eric Hovde.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) is outperforming Biden by three points in Minnesota, and Sen. Jacky Rosen (D) leads the President by seven points in Nevada, as mentioned by The Hill.

The polls, conducted from June 13-18 among 1,000 registered voters per state, indicate a credibility interval of three percentage points in 19 out of 20 cases per state.